Interesting post from someone I know

Well so much for getting back on the bandwagon of posting more.

But in my defense, I’ve been busy this past month.

Someone I worked with briefly with has posted a post that I really liked and I think is on-topic to some of the stuff here, namely “how we think.”

http://www.ratha.com/monotropism#comment-244

I’ve always been fascinated by not only intelligence, but HOW we think. Why can some folk solve a problem faster than others? Why can some folks walk into a room and “see” everything there and others miss many details.

Years ago I developed the idea that folks had varying amounts of I/O “bandwidth” and more and more research seems to be bearing this out at a very general level. Ratha’s post explores a specific concept here of monotropism vs. polytropism and how some folks tend to focus on one thing to the extreme.

Following Directions

Not much to say here other than this link may have saved me a lot of work.

I would have saved myself even more work if I had paid close attention to the last step:

Don’t miss this step, it’s very important: Select the new document; PressCtrl + A; Press F9.

Just to add, what this does is make sure the correct images get merged in.

Git ‘r Done

It’s rare I post items so quick in succession, but I’m trying to post a bit more often and these topics work together.

I mentioned in my previous post about the group of people I work with on the NCRC Educational Committee.  But I wanted to follow that up with a comment about a goal

In cave rescue, our goal is to get the patient to the surface as quickly and safely as possible in as good or better shape than we found them.

Ultimately that goal should drive pretty much everything we do on a rescue.

Sometimes though, students fail to see it that way. On one hand it is amusing when we watch students take a simple problem and over-complicate it. Sometimes two instructors will look at each other and ask, “why are they doing it THIS way and not THAT way?” During training it’s easy to refocus them and remind them what the goal is. At the end of the week of training we have a mock rescue where the students are on their own. At this point, if they lose focus of the goal, they may take longer than they expect or wish to.

During one practice I was on as a studnet, a discussion began about how to move the litter with the patient in it under a tight low roof along a stream passage. After a minute or two of discussion, 2 of the other students and I looked at each other and realized the other members of the group were too focused on convincing the other members that their way was the best way to move the patient. The entire time they were trying to “win” the conversation, which had apparently become their current goal; the patient wasn’t moving.

So, the three of us simply moved the patient quickly and safely to the other side of the obstruction. After about a minute, the conversation stopped and the folks on the other side of the discussion realized the patient they were arguing about moving, had been moved. Things improved from there.

Now, by no means should it sound like I’ve never lost focus (see my post The Hunger Games for an example of a potentially more dangerous situation where I definitely lost focus of the correct goal.)

But this leads to a question: “How should the goal be accomplished?”

To give an example, perhaps I can build and operate a beautiful 4:1 haul system where every leg collapses the optimal amount and I can operate it with just 2 people.  Or, I can put up a 1:1 haul system that’s inelegant and requires 6-7 people to operate it.  Both will move the patient, but which one is “better?”

Well, honestly, “it depends”.  If I have plenty of extra people and I’m short on time, I’ll go with the 1:1 almost every time.  It’s simple and it works.  It can be setup in just a few minutes and requires very little equipment.

But what if I’m tight on people and I have the time?  Perhaps then the 4:1 is the proper solution.

This is where experience and judgement come into play.  Both systems “Git ‘r Done” and both can help me with my goal of getting the patient to daylight. And that is my goal in a rescue.  My goal in a rescue is NOT to build a beautiful 4:1.  My goal is to build a system that gets the patient out safely and quickly.  If a 4:1 will work best to accomplish the goal, I’ll do that.  If it won’t. I’ll forgo it, no matter how sweet and sexy it may seem to me.

We sometimes teach students a handy metric of two questions to ask themselves:

  1. Does it work?
  2. Is it safe?

A 4:1 that isn’t fully rigged when the patient arrives fails the first question, no matter how elegant and well it may operate when its finally rigged.

On the other hand, if the 1:1 is fully rigged, but I don’t have enough folks to operate it, it also fails the first question.  However, if I have enough folks to operate it, I’m not going to start discussing how there might be a better way to rig it with fewer people.  Note that “is it the BEST or OPTIMAL solution” isn’t part of the metric.  In this case, it really doesn’t matter.

Keeping these questions in mind can often negate extra conversation (such as the example above of the patient not moving while folks were discussing the BEST way to move him.)

So, when you face the task of solving a problem, especially one with time pressure and that is most likely a one-off, ask yourself if the solution you currently have is safe and if it works.  If you can answer yes to both, then Git ‘r done.

Smart People

Like many, from time to time, I’ve had the distinction of being “the smartest person in the room”. (Often that’s when I’m the only guy in the room, but that’s just a minor detail.)

This past weekend though, I had the pleasure of being in a room full of people where I was definitely not the smartest guy in the room.  One of my side activities is working with the Educational Committee of the National Cave Rescue Commission. This entails, among other things, having face to face meetings once or twice a year. During this time we work on the curriculum, trying to improve it every year.  This weekend’s meeting had 8 people (including myself) in attendance.  The people there bring an extremely wide degree of skills to the table, ranging from medical experience, SRT experience, grammar experience, experience about ropes and devices, rescue experience and more.

With such a diverse background, there are times when not everyone is in agreement on various teaching points.  But, while there may be spirited debate at times, everyone still keeps the end goal in mind: developing the best possible curriculum for cave rescue.

However, one has to be careful about “the smartest guy in the room.”  There is an old joke about a plane about to crash. It has 3 passengers, a Boy Scout, a priest, and a Nobel Prize winner and 2 parachutes.

The Nobel Prize winner grabs a pack shouts, “My discoveries will save the world, I deserve to live” and jumps out of the plane.

The priest tells the Boy Scout, “Son, please take the last parachute.  I have lived a good life and I am prepared to meet the Lord”.

The Boy Scout turns to the priest, “Don’t worry Father, the smartest guy in the world just grabbed my backpack and jumped out of the plane.”

Being smart doesn’t make one immune from error.  But surrounding oneself with smart people can often lead to better solutions.

You don’t have to be the smartest person in the room, but you should at least try to surround yourself with them.

Think your way

Years ago Thomas J. Watson at IBM thought up a single word slogan: Think!.

Later Apple countered with Think Different!

I’ve always been fascinated with how people think.  One thing I’ve learned over the years is most people don’t think nearly as much as they think they do.  This isn’t necessarily a bad thing.  Actually in many ways it’s most likely an evolutionary adaptation that for the most part works.

For example, if a million years ago, you suddenly saw your ancestors all running away, you’d probably leap up and follow them without waiting to confirm there was a sabre-toothed tiger hot on their heels.  By not taking the extra second or two to think, you were able to pass on your genes.

But, in today’s highly evolved society, often that exact same reaction is not the right move.

I was reminded of this today getting off the train in New York City.  I tend to sit in the middle of the car (a lot of thinking has gone into this actually!)  So when I get up, I always have a choice of which way to go to get off the train.  Now, in a perfect world, it wouldn’t matter.  Since I’m equidistant from both ends of the car, it shouldn’t matter which way I go.  But often it does.  Today actually I was a little forward of middle.  I turned back to see more than 1/2 the car lined up behind me heading towards the rear of the car.  In part this was because the stairs from the platform towards the station are in that direction.  

Everyone was standing still.  I walked forward and was out of the car and to the stairs before the rear of the car had barely emptied.  I’m not sure what the hold up was. But the fact was, more than 1/2 the car apparently saw someone else get up, head towards the back so they did.  They never took the split second to look forward to see if that would be any faster.

Now you may be saying big deal. And you’re right. Getting off a train car a few seconds ahead of other people usually isn’t.

But, I’ve heard of similar things happening in more critical situations. How many times have you listened to the flight attendant or movie announcer point out fire exits and then promptly forgot about them?  How many folks make notes of all the exits in a building when they enter?

A study of fires and incidents in public facilities often shows that folks tend to do one of two things. 

One, they go where everyone else is going.  Again, this makes sense at a basic level.  There is the underlying assumption whether they realize it or not that they’re following the person in front of them because they assume the person who is moving must know something they don’t.  Of course it never dawns on them that the person in front of them may simply be moving in that direction because of the person in front of THEM.  The tragic side effect is that often you get crowding, trampling or simply wedges by the exit.  Often you’ll find a number of deaths occur near the most visible or most used exit to a facility.  In many cases this is due to wedges of people getting stuck trying to get through the door.

The other thing that people tend to do is head towards the exit they know about.  In fact this is most likely what causes the person at the front of the pack above to start moving in the direction they’re moving. 

Unfortunately, building codes generally assume that in an emergency, folks will exit all available exists (or some subset) in roughly equal numbers.  Experience shows in a crisis, this is rarely the case.  (I do believe this assumption is also starting to change and some building codes are changing to reflect that.)

(as an aside, one of the more remarkable survival stories I recall from 9/11 was a small group of people that essentially MADE their own exit by cutting a hole through a fireproof wall to another area where they could escape from.  So, sometimes consider making your own exit.)

Now, since I hate to end these passages on a somber note and because I want to relate this more to the IT industry, I’ll point out that often the successful businesses are not the ones that do what the heard does.  They do it differently. 

So, two exercises left to the reader.  Next time you go to a movie theater or restaurant, take a note of the exits and decide which one you will head to that you might have not noticed before.  Or if you’re stuck on a train or in a long line, stop to think if perhaps there’s another way people are overlooking.

The other one is more fun and one friends did in high school.  At the next group photo, pretend to see something and point to it.  See how many people follow along because obviously if you saw something, they must see something.  Then ask the last person who pointed what they were looking at.  I’ll bet in most cases you’ll hear “whatever it was they were looking at!”

 

A Solution Exists

I’m reminded of an old, very geeky joke:

A mathematician, a scientist, and an engineer all take a room at a hotel.  They each wake up separately to discover a small fire in their wastebaskets.

The scientist sits for a minute, calculates the amount of heat being created by the fire, determines the amount of water required to put it out, fills up his ice-bucket to that precise amount and tosses it on the fire, putting it out.  There’s no excess water and the mess is minor so he goes back to sleep.

The engineer looks at the fire, grabs the ice-bucket fills it to the top with water, figures there’s more than enough water in it, toss it on the fire with a margin of water to spare.  The fire goes out and he goes back to sleep.

The mathematician looks at the fire, looks at the ice-bucket, determines a solution exists and goes back to sleep.

When solving a problem, sometimes knowing a solution exists (or doesn’t exist) is half the battle.

I’m currently trying to win a programming contract to update a gentleman’s website. One of the requirements may be to integrate with some sort of payment service.  So, some quick research showed such a solution “existed”.  I had achieved the level of mathematician.  The service suggested is  Paypal’s https://www.paypal.com/ipn service. 

But it’s one thing to show a solution exists, I had to actually work with the solution to make sure if the time comes, I can implement it.  So, spent a few hours tonight working with the code example provided by Paypal and a database I created to test the proposed solution. After a couple of minor errors, I was able to use the test sandbox to call my callback URL and record the responses to the database.  I had achieved the basics. But this was also the hardest part.  So I have achieved the level of scientist here.

Now, if the customer gives me the go-ahead, I’ll have to expand the code to actually parse the request string and other details and integrate it with his code and database.  That said, that part is actually fairly trivial in many ways as I will control the entire process there.

So I haven’t quite achieved the level of engineer, but if the time comes, I will.

So that fire is out.  On to the next one.

QuiCR’s latest product

I mentioned in my latest post I was working on a new project, one that valued simplicity over complexity.  I can now talk about it a bit more.

I had approached a local cab company about the QuiCR product.  Unfortunately, given who his largest market demographic was, (most of his fares do not have cell phones, let alone smart phones) we decided it wasn’t a great fit.

But, as I mentioned, he had made an off-hand comment about something he would like: namely an ability to allow a smaller demographic of his, the local college students, the ability to send a text to his dispatcher and request a cab.

This is one of those design ideas that’s both deceptively simple and complex at the same time.  It’s simple because “Receive text, display text, allow a response” about describes the problem.

Now, the simplest solution obviously would be a to give the dispatcher a cell phone with texting capabilities.  That would also be the wrong answer.  For one thing, his dispatchers work at a frantic pace and time is off the essence.  While some folks may be able to whip off text messages using “text-speak” in seconds, his staff isn’t among those with fingers that nimble.  

It also doesn’t provide for easy reviewing of messages and threads and the like.

So, the trick was coming up with a computer interface that was simple enough that it could be adopted with only a few minutes of training and that wouldn’t interfere with their current manual dispatch system.

The keyword there is manual. Yes, there are systems out there with all sorts of bells and whistles that can integrate with GPS, credit card systems, IVR and much more.  Those systems also costs a LOT of money.  And in at least one case, a vendor was suggesting that to adopt it, he hire another dispatcher to handle the increased load.  Note the load wasn’t necessarily from increased business, but simply from the complexity of the system.  Now, don’t get me wrong, in a large city where you have dozens of cabs, such a system is the right approach and scales well.  But, it doesn’t scale very well to smaller companies.

His dispatchers use a very manual system.  And it works. Hopefully my new “text-dispatcher” will integrate well with the current system and generate some new business for him.

Sometimes, simpler is better, but harder

 

Timers

There’s a photo I recall of the Space Shuttle flight deck looking out over the cargo bay.

What’s most interesting about it is the number of kitchen timers velcroed to various surfaces.  They were definitely afterthoughts.

After a few flights NASA started to realize that their multi-billion orbiter was short a few $1.50 timers on the flight deck.  They were used for things like timing rendezvous maneuvers, arm movements and more.  It was such a simple  need that was evidently overlooked early on.  Or perhaps not so much overlooked as much as no one foresaw the usefulness.

I was thinking of this tonight as I was cleaning up in the kitchen and realizing how useful timers are so I don’t forget things. In this case, putting the wok on the hot stove to boil off some water.  Something I could easily walk away from and realize an hour later I had forgotten about. Sure a pretty mundane use, but a very important one.

I’m also reminded of it as I’ve submitted a proposal to a local company to add something new to their business.  The idea came from an off-hand comment the business owner had made.  More importantly though, he liked the prototype because I listened to his other comments.  This had to integrate into an existing manual system as easily as possible.  He had others come to his business and suggest multi-thousand dollar solutions that would require he hire MORE staff and send them all to training.  That was not a winning business solution.  If my proposal is recommend, it will involve a laptop on the desk and at most 1-3 mouse clicks to do what he wants his team to do.  Time in training… 5 minutes. Cost.. under $1K upfront (and under $1K monthly).  Possible impact on his business >$1K a month.

That’s hopefully a winning combination.  I’ll know tomorrow if it works.

But sometimes the simplest approach is the best approach.

 

The Hunger Games

I’ll admit it, I’m a sucker for “fantasy” worlds. I don’t necessarily mean fantasy in terms of fairies and elves and goblins, but in the sense of wholly created “worlds” that feel complete.  One of the first I recall reading was the Earth-Sea trilogy which took place on a planet very unlike our own.

Anyway, the latest series I’ve been sucked into, like many is “The Hunger Games”.  For those of you who live under a rock and have missed all the hoopla, it is set in a future dystopia where “Districts” are required to send a male and female “tribute” to the “Capitol” to participate in gladiatorial combat to the death.  The opening scenes remind me much of Shirley Jackson’s “The Lottery.”

In any case, at a couple of points, the story’s hero, Katniss Everden is told by her drunken mentor, Haymitch Abernathy, “Stay Alive”.  On the face of this, when heading into near certain death, this advice from a drunk seems rather pointless.  After all, isn’t everyone in the “Games” trying to Stay Alive?  She at first dismisses him as a drunken fool.

However, as time goes on, despite not being able to communicate directly with him, she starts to understand him better.

And while never fully stated, I believe she finally realizes his advice wasn’t nearly as obvious as it sounds.  It is rather more like a Zen Koan.  By staying alive, she’ll live.

The first time she applies this lesson, without fully realizing it, is right when the games begin.  Unlike many of the tributes who go for the cache of items the Gameskeepers provide at the start of the game, she grabs one or two items and flees for the woods, barely staying alive in the process.  However, she learns that night that 11 of the 24 people who started the game died in the initial moments, most of them trying to grab items from the cache.  They had failed to stay alive.  More importantly, they had failed to follow the advice of “Stay Alive”.  Rather, while planning for the future (“If I can get these weapons now, I can use them later on”) they failed to take into account the present.  In the present there were 23 other tributes intent on killing them.

Soon Katniss realizes that by focusing on “staying alive” she can actually win the games.  She makes some mistakes, but also does many things right.  Once she’s assured that she can stay alive, only then does the actually go on the offensive.  As a result she at the end, she is still alive.

Ultimately, I realized this similar to the point I often try to drill into people when I say, “fly the plane”.  This reflects lessons learned by the NTSB and others that there are airplane crashes that result as a result of the pilot failing to do the most important job, flying the plane.  They may get distracted, or worse focused on the wrong issue and and end up flying the plane into the ground.

If you don’t believe me, think back to your early days as a driver and how you might have been easily distracted adjusting the radio, or picking up something off the floor.  If you’re like most drivers, you probably had a few near misses where the distraction from driving almost caused an accident, or worse, did cause an accident.

In my most memorable incident, I was in a vehicle with my father, approaching a merge and was trying to downshift.  I was still intent on learning to drive stick and this truck was a bit tricky at times.  But I was determined to properly downshift.  So determined in fact that I ignored the big red hexagonal sign with the bright white letters instructing me as to what I really should have been doing.  I also ignored (well honestly I think I may have snapped at least one reply) my father’s increasing admonishment to do as that sign instructed lest something bad happened.

I can’t recall if I successfully downshifted or not, but I do know that once I returned to the actual task at hand, DRIVING, I was about 40′ beyond said sign and was lucky I hadn’t been hit by a car from the other leg of the merge.  I had been distracted by something that I thought was very important, “downshifting and not stalling out” and missed the real goal at the time, STOPPING.  Or in other words, staying alive.  Sure, downshifting and not stalling out was an admirable goal.  And had the “stopping” part been successfully managed, the proper goal to focus on.  But the “stopping” part really trumped all else.

 

So: Stay Alive first and then focus on winning

 

 

 

My First Science Experiment

I was thinking the other day about my first science “experiment”.

I was probably 4 years old at the time.  And I wanted to know if the TV basically did, what I now know would be referred to as “caching”.  Specifically, I wanted to know if I turned off the TV and turned it on fast enough if somehow the TV would “remember” the second or two of the episode that was aired while it was off and somehow play it back when the TV was turned back on.

I still remember the process.  It was obvious to me that the TV wasn’t going to remember very much (simple experience showed me that since I obviously couldn’t watch a show that was on an hour previous).  But, I figured if it was quick enough, perhaps somehow it was stored in the TV.

The problem though, was “how to tell?”  So I had to set up some conditions.  Basically it came down to watching enough TV to be able to guess what the next word would be in the sentence the actor or presenter was saying.

So once I determined how to do the experiment, I proceeded to sit in front of the TV and wait for a line of dialog where I figured I could safely guess the next word or two.  Then I’d flip the TV off and on.  I also tried changing the channel to see if that would affect things.

After a few tries, I was pretty much convinced that the TV wasn’t capable of caching anything.  I never could be sure though since I realized my guesses might be wrong.  But, my confidence was high enough that I concluded that when the TV was off, anything transmitted to me was lost.

So, at age 4 or so, I had somehow already figured out the scientific method and was engaging in science experiments.

That though has pretty much defined my life.  I have to remind folks, I received my BS from the School of Science at RPI, not the School of Engineering.

Scientist: It’s the way I roll.